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UK-led HydroGNSS launches to track Earth’s water

Two UK‑built HydroGNSS microsatellites lifted off on 28 November at 19:44 CET aboard SpaceX’s Falcon 9 Transporter‑15 from Vandenberg, with first signals confirmed at 22:45 CET. The twin craft form the European Space Agency’s first Scout mission and are led by the UK. Surrey Satellite Technology Ltd (SSTL) is prime. This is a small mission with a big brief: map key water variables quickly and cheaply.

The UK Space Agency backed HydroGNSS with £26 million and positioned a British prime to deliver the hardware and early operations from Guildford. The payload uses GNSS reflectometry, reading GPS and Galileo signals after they bounce off Earth to infer soil moisture, inundation and freeze–thaw states-data that are notoriously costly to collect with traditional sensors. In short: lower mass, lower power, and persistent coverage through cloud and vegetation.

Cost discipline is the point of ESA’s Scout line. When HydroGNSS was green‑lit, Scout missions were set a rapid build and roughly €30 million-class budget envelope, with SSTL’s initial contract valued at €24 million. That price bracket is designed to test new techniques and, if the science holds up, justify scaling to small constellations rather than a single flagship.

The near‑term customers are obvious. The UK Environment Agency says richer soil‑moisture and inundation readings strengthen flood forecasting and warnings-exactly the sort of operational benefit that moves public‑sector users from pilots to procurement. For farmers, water managers and reinsurers, the attraction is frequent, global coverage without waiting for cloud‑free scenes.

There is real UK supply‑chain content behind the headline. SSTL leads integration on its SSTL‑21 platform; University of Nottingham and the National Oceanography Centre are among science partners; and British SMEs such as EECL have supplied low‑noise amplifiers for the receiver front end. That mix-prime, academia and specialist components-is exactly how smallsat programmes spread value beyond a single factory gate.

The engineering is compact: each satellite is roughly 45×45×70 cm and about 75 kg, flying sun‑synchronous at 550 km with the pair phased 180 degrees apart. At a 25 km grid, two spacecraft cover more than 80% of land in 15 days, with regular downlinks via high‑latitude stations such as Svalbard. It’s a workmanlike spec sheet aimed at dependable time‑series rather than glossy pictures.

Commercialisation should be straightforward. SSTL will distribute the data to users, and GNSS‑R products slot neatly into existing analytics stacks for flood risk, yield modelling, insurance underwriting and ESG reporting. The budget case improves further if follow‑on satellites shorten revisit times over priority basins; that’s where a service model can turn niche science into recurring revenue.

The macro picture matters. The UK space industry generated £18.6 billion of income in 2022/23 (real terms) and employs about 55,550 people, with a further 81,400 jobs supported in the supply chain. Satellite‑enabled services underpin roughly 18% of UK GDP by sectoral reliance. Missions that convert public R&D into usable data products are how that headline number grows.

Financing conditions are improving too. In Bremen on 26–27 November, ESA member states agreed a record three‑year budget of €22.1 billion, while the UK confirmed a £1.7 billion package that lifts total UK support for ESA programmes to £2.8 billion over the next decade. Earth observation lines were reshaped after the UK withdrew from TRUTHS, with funds reallocated-an uncomfortable trade‑off, but one that keeps near‑term delivery in focus.

For domestic ROI, geo‑return rules mean UK ESA contributions come back as contracts to British firms, and the government’s own evaluation pegs the direct return at £7.49 for every £1 invested in ESA programmes. Record UK contract wins through ESA since 2022 back that up. HydroGNSS is a practical route to keep that flywheel turning in Earth observation.

Governance is shifting. The UK Space Agency will be absorbed into DSIT’s Space Directorate by 1 April 2026, creating a single civil space unit. Supporters say it will cut duplication and speed decisions; scientists want any savings ringfenced for programmes. Either way, a cleaner line to ministers should help push commercially focused missions from concept to contract.

What should investors and SMEs watch next? Commissioning milestones as instruments are calibrated; early data quality against SMAP/SMOS benchmarks; and any move toward a larger GNSS‑R constellation, which is where unit economics improve. If HydroGNSS proves its metrics, the UK has a credible export: affordable, climate‑relevant data with a supply chain that already exists onshore.

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