UK PM: fares, fuel duty frozen; wage rise in 2026
The Prime Minister’s New Year message set out a cost-of-living agenda designed to show up on bank statements, not just in speeches: rail fares, prescription charges and fuel duty frozen, a £150 cut to household energy bills, another increase to the minimum wage, and cheaper childcare. The pledges were published in full on GOV.UK and framed as measures people should begin to feel through 2026.
On rail, the government has confirmed a one‑year freeze on all regulated fares in England from March 2026, the first such move in three decades. Treasury and Department for Transport documents suggest commuters on the more expensive routes could avoid increases worth more than £300 over the year, with season tickets, peak returns and off‑peak intercity returns held until March 2027. For workers who budget around a season ticket, that is real cash kept in reserve.
Fuel duty will also stay put. The 5p‑per‑litre cut, first introduced in 2022, has been extended until the end of August 2026, with plans to unwind it gradually thereafter. For van‑reliant sole traders and small fleets, every 1,000 litres filled is £50 less duty than under pre‑2022 rates; scale that across a busy quarter and it becomes a meaningful buffer for margins. The Treasury estimates these changes reduce family motoring costs next year versus previous plans.
Prescription charges in England remain frozen at £9.90 for 2026/27, with prepayment certificates held at current prices. The move matters most to working‑age patients who pay per item and juggle multiple repeat scripts; for them, a freeze is a predictable line in the monthly budget rather than another inflation‑linked rise. HM Treasury says the policy is aimed squarely at easing cost pressures while the NHS rebuilds capacity.
Energy bills are set for dual support: a headline pledge to take £150 off typical household costs, plus a structural change where the government funds a large share of policy costs currently added to bills. Independent forecasts from Cornwall Insight point to an April 2026 cap reduction of around £138 for a typical home, taking the annual bill near £1,620. That is still high by historical standards, but it bends the curve the right way.
The minimum wage will rise again in April. Following Low Pay Commission advice accepted by ministers, the National Living Wage is set to increase by 4.1% to £12.71 for workers aged 21 and over. On a 37.5‑hour week, the LPC estimates that’s roughly £977 more per year in gross pay, affecting around 2.4 million workers. Good news for pay packets; attention now turns to how smaller employers phase the uplift into pricing and staffing plans.
Childcare is flagged as another pressure point being eased. The Department for Education says the expanded 30 hours of funded childcare from nine months to school start is now live, with savings of up to £7,500 a year per child for eligible working parents. The government has also set a record £9.5 billion early‑years budget for 2026 to support supply. Parents should still check local capacity and eligibility windows to make sure the savings arrive on time.
The message also promised visible changes in communities: more neighbourhood police by March and additional health hubs from April. Those timelines echo earlier No. 10 briefings on policing numbers and seven‑day diagnostic centres. Delivery will be closely watched, not least because it underpins the Prime Minister’s argument that 2026 is when people start to feel improvement rather than just hear about it.
Zooming out, the Office for Budget Responsibility’s read‑across in Budget 2025 suggests the package trims CPI inflation by 0.4 percentage points next year. That will not solve every bill, but it reduces the rate at which costs eat into wages. As ever, energy markets and the pace of public‑service recovery will decide how far the relief stretches.
What to do now? Households can bank the rail freeze by renewing season tickets on schedule, review energy direct debits from April, and check childcare code deadlines early. SME owners should model the April wage floor, lock in fuel procurement where possible, and use the breathing room from duty and fares freezes to rebuild cash buffers. If the delivery dates hold, 2026 should feel a shade easier than 2025.